38.9. INDEPENDENCE AND CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY 791

Proof: From Proposition 38.8.7,(

X−µ

σ

)is normally distributed with mean µ and vari-

ance σ2. If f (t) is the density of(

X−µ

σ

)2, then

F (x)≡∫ x

0f (t)dt ≡ P

((X−µ

σ

)2

< x

)= P

(−√

x <X−µ

σ<√

x)

=1√2π

∫ √x

−√

xe−

12 t2

dt =

√2√π

∫ √x

0e−

12 t2

dt

change variables. Let t2

2 = u so tdt = du,dt = du√2u. Then the above is

√2√

2√

π

∫ x/2

0u−1/2e−udu

Then, taking the derivative will yield the density. This is

1√π

12

( x2

)−1/2e−x/2 =

1√π

1√2√

xe−x/2

=1

Γ(1/2)21/2 x1/2−1e−x/2

because of Corollary 38.1.2, which is the density for X 2 (1) as claimed. ■

38.9 Independence and Conditional ProbabilityIn the above, the concept of Probability that a random variable is in some set has beenconsidered. More generally, you have a set and a collection of subsets of this set and afunction which assigns a number between 0 and 1 to sets in this collection. This is theprobability function. The following has to do with conditional probability.

Definition 38.9.1 Let C be a collection of sets contained in some universal set U. Thesecould be intervals on the real line for example, and U could be R. Let P : C → [0,1]. Thusfor A a set, P(A) ∈ [0,1] . It satisfies the following conditions.

1. If Ai are disjoint sets in C , then P(∪n

i=1Ai)= ∑

ni=1 P(Ai) . More generally, if you

have infinitely many such disjoint sets, P(∪∞i=1Ai) = ∑

∞i=1 P(Ai).

2. If A ∈ C , then P(A)+P(U \A) = 1.

Then one defines the conditional probability as follows. If P(B) ̸= 0,

P(A|B)≡ P(A∩B)P(B)

The sets in C are called events.

38.9. INDEPENDENCE AND CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY 791Proof: From Proposition 38.8.7, (*5") is normally distributed with mean u and vari-2ance o”. If f (t) is the density of (254) , thenOoroy= [soase( (AGH) <a) =P(-va<*T# < vs)= a [ea = ee Hat. lea _ _ — du .change variables. Let 5 = u so tdt = du,dt = Wore Then the above isx/2v2 | ue "duy0V2/Then, taking the derivative will yield the density. This isil (5) Pew — tt papJn 2\2 Va 2x_ 1 1/2-1,—x/2raj2)22,because of Corollary 38.1.2, which is the density for 2° (1) as claimed. Ml38.9 Independence and Conditional ProbabilityIn the above, the concept of Probability that a random variable is in some set has beenconsidered. More generally, you have a set and a collection of subsets of this set and afunction which assigns a number between 0 and | to sets in this collection. This is theprobability function. The following has to do with conditional probability.Definition 38.9.1 Let @ be a collection of sets contained in some universal set U. Thesecould be intervals on the real line for example, and U could be R. Let P: @ — (0,1). Thusfor Aa set, P(A) € [0,1]. It satisfies the following conditions.1. If A; are disjoint sets in @, then P (Ut, Ai) = YL, P(Ai). More generally, if youhave infinitely many such disjoint sets, P (U?_,Ai) = Lz, P (Ai).2. IfA€ @, then P(A) +P(U\A)=1.Then one defines the conditional probability as follows. If P(B) # 0,P(ANB)P(A|B) = P(B)The sets in © are called events.